Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001694 0.001805 0.001919 0.002046 0.002184 0.002329 0.002493
2025-01-19 0.001517 0.001671 0.001838 0.002031 0.002249 0.002490 0.002775
2025-01-26 0.001353 0.001527 0.001721 0.001952 0.002223 0.002532 0.002912
2025-02-02 0.001301 0.001499 0.001725 0.002004 0.002340 0.002734 0.003237
2025-02-09 0.001250 0.001466 0.001719 0.002037 0.002431 0.002907 0.003531
2025-02-16 0.001234 0.001472 0.001756 0.002121 0.002585 0.003159 0.003937
2025-02-23 0.001180 0.001428 0.001727 0.002120 0.002629 0.003275 0.004170
2025-03-02 0.001105 0.001351 0.001654 0.002058 0.002591 0.003279 0.004253
2025-03-09 0.001046 0.001293 0.001601 0.002017 0.002575 0.003310 0.004371
2025-03-16 0.001009 0.001260 0.001577 0.002013 0.002607 0.003403 0.004577
2025-03-23 0.000966 0.001219 0.001541 0.001990 0.002610 0.003455 0.004726
2025-03-30 0.000933 0.001188 0.001516 0.001980 0.002630 0.003531 0.004912
2025-04-06 0.000886 0.001139 0.001470 0.001943 0.002619 0.003572 0.005066
2025-04-13 0.000849 0.001103 0.001439 0.001928 0.002636 0.003656 0.005291
2025-04-20 0.000795 0.001041 0.001370 0.001854 0.002565 0.003606 0.005304
2025-04-27 0.000786 0.001040 0.001386 0.001902 0.002675 0.003831 0.005766
2025-05-04 0.000772 0.001032 0.001391 0.001933 0.002761 0.004022 0.006187
2025-05-11 0.000774 0.001046 0.001426 0.002012 0.002923 0.004342 0.006845
2025-05-18 0.000752 0.001025 0.001410 0.002011 0.002960 0.004464 0.007175
2025-05-25 0.000714 0.000980 0.001358 0.001953 0.002903 0.004430 0.007227
2025-06-01 0.000685 0.000946 0.001320 0.001915 0.002876 0.004442 0.007361
2025-06-08 0.000667 0.000927 0.001304 0.001911 0.002904 0.004548 0.007673
2025-06-15 0.000644 0.000902 0.001278 0.001889 0.002900 0.004598 0.007886